US, Iraq to begin talks that could lead to withdrawal of all remaining American troops

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The U.S. and Iraq will begin formal talks in coming days that officials say could lead to the eventual withdrawal of American troops in the country, a major milestone in the years-long effort by the two countries to fight the Islamic State.

The decision to move forward with the discussions, known as the Higher Military Commission, comes just days after Iranian-backed forces in Iraq launched a barrage of missiles on a U.S. base, injuring at least four service members and one Iraqi.

 

Several defense officials, speaking on condition of anonymity in order to discuss sensitive details, said the latest attack on U.S. forces in Iraq didn't factor into the decision and that negotiations probably would have started sooner had the Israeli-Hamas war not begun.

Since last fall, some 60 attacks have been launched on U.S. forces in Iraq and more than 90 in Syria, as Iranian-backed militants blame the U.S. for its support of Israel.

There are still about 2,500 American troops serving in Iraq and 900 in Syria to prevent a resurgence of the Islamic State.

PHOTO: A member of the Popular Mobilization Forces (Hashed al-Shaabi), a powerful pro-Iranian militia, stands guard at the site where two members of the militia, including a commander, were killed in an alleged US airstrike, Jan. 4, 2024, Bagdad. (Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images, FILE)
PHOTO: A member of the Popular Mobilization Forces (Hashed al-Shaabi), a powerful pro-Iranian militia, stands guard at the site where two members of the militia, including a commander, were killed in an alleged US airstrike, Jan. 4, 2024, Bagdad. (Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/picture alliance via Getty Images, FILE)

 

U.S. officials also declined to say how soon troops might leave, if they do at all.

"We are going to -- together with our Iraqi partners -- help determine the shape of the future U.S. military presence in Iraq, and at the same time, ensure an Iraqi lead enduring defeat" of the Islamic State, said a senior defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity.

"But beyond that, we won't speculate," the official said.

The U.S. had been working with Iraq in 2014 to take back territory from the Islamic State and deployed troops there to train and advise Iraqi security forces to ensure ISIS doesn’t regain control.

But Iran, Iraq's powerful eastern neighbor, holds significant sway over the Iraqi government and the Shiite militias that are nominally under Iraqi government control.

After the Israeli-Hamas war broke out last fall, U.S. forces found themselves under increased threat of attack by Iranian-backed militias in the country.

For its part, the continued presence of U.S. troops in Iraq and strikes against Iranian-backed militants has been a flash point for Iraqi lawmakers. Iraq's foreign minister said in a statement that it wants to "formulate a specific and clear timetable that specifies the duration of the presence of international coalition advisors in Iraq."

PHOTO: Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin speaks at a virtual Ukraine Defense Contact Group (UDCG) meeting, Nov. 22, 2023, at the Pentagon. (Cliff Owen/AP, FILE)
PHOTO: Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin speaks at a virtual Ukraine Defense Contact Group (UDCG) meeting, Nov. 22, 2023, at the Pentagon. (Cliff Owen/AP, FILE)

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said any decision to "transition" the U.S.-led coalition mission will hinge upon three factors -- the threat of the Islamic State, operational and environmental requirements, and the capabilities of Iraqi security forces.

"The United States remains committed to a secure, stable, and sovereign Iraq," he wrote.

Sunday's attack on U.S. troops at the sprawling Iraqi airbase in western Iraq involved 17 ballistic missiles and rockets and was launched from inside Iraq, according to three U.S. officials.

While the majority of the projectiles were blocked, two ballistic missiles were able to get through U.S. air defenses, the officials said.

U.S. and Iraqi officials will launch a bilateral working group in the coming days to discuss the future of the roughly 2,500 American troops in Iraq, which has become a point of contention following clashes in the Middle Eastern country with Iranian-backed militia groups.

The U.S.-Iraq Higher Military Commission (HMC) meetings will begin soon as part of a planned process both countries committed to last August and is not connected to recent tensions with Iranian-backed militia groups, the Pentagon said Thursday.

During the talks, representatives will discuss how the war against the extremist Islamist group ISIS can transition to a new stage, based on the existing threat from ISIS and the capabilities of the Iraqi security forces trained by U.S. troops, along with operational requirements.

“Expert working groups of military and defense professionals will examine these three factors and advise the HMC on the most effective evolution of the D-ISIS Coalition mission, ensuring that ISIS can never resurge,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said in a statement.

A senior U.S. defense official said both sides were committed “to carefully revisit the question of timing and to ensure that HMC is comprehensive, efficient and a professional process.”

“We’re going to continue this strong security partnership to advance our shared objectives and interests. HMC will help us determine what form that partnership will take,” the official said. “Iraqi stability and sovereignty are essential for regional peace and security.”

While Washington and Baghdad have held previous bilateral talks, the discussions have seen renewed importance following the breakout of war between Israel and Hamas in October, with the U.S. now battling Iranian-backed militia groups across the Middle East.

In Iraq, the clashes have sparked major concerns from the government. Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani has condemned both Iran and the U.S. for strikes this month in his country.

On Wednesday, al-Sudani said during a national security meeting that recent attacks in Iraq “constituted a flagrant violation of Iraqi sovereignty.”

He also stressed “the need to take all necessary political, diplomatic and security measures to protect Iraq’s sovereignty and maintain its security.”

The U.S. is in Iraq at the invitation of the Iraqi government to train and assist local forces to combat ISIS. The government first asked Washington to assist with the fight against ISIS in 2014 after the group rose to power in Iraq.

If Iraq were to ask the troops to leave, the U.S. would have no choice but to leave without breaking the relationship with Baghdad.

Iraq says it now has the ability to deter ISIS, which has been largely defeated since it swept across Iraq in the mid-2010s. But the group still maintains sleeper cells and was responsible for a deadly bombing in neighboring Iran this month that killed dozens of people.

ISIS no longer poses a major threat to the region and is largely “suppressed,” a senior U.S. defense official said, but the official stressed it was vital to ensure Iraq maintains the capabilities to continue suppressing them.

“They’re in a complex terrain and mountain environments, or in some of the less governed spaces in the desert in Syria or in some of the places in central Iraq,” the official said of ISIS militants. “Forces are constantly working with their intelligence platforms to detect and track these small ISIS cells.”

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