Western warships are shooting down Houthi threats, but the Iran-backed attacks are still screwing up global trade

-
Houthi militias from Yemen are targeting commercial cargo vessels in the Red Sea.
-
The attacks prompted major companies including BP to stop or reroute all shipments in the region.
-
The disruption to global shipping has experts worried the attacks will cause inflation.
Western warships are shooting down Houthi threats, but the Iran-backed attacks are still screwing up global trade.
As Iran-backed Houthi militias continue targeting commercial vessels in the Red Sea with drone and missile attacks, causing multiple major companies to reroute or cancel shipments through the region, economists worry the massive disruption to global trade will have a sharp impact on the world economy.
The US, as well as French and UK allies, have been fending off a barrage of Houthi attacks for nearly two months, intercepting over a dozen drone attacks in a single day this past weekend as they protected the commercial ships.
Representatives for the Iran-backed rebel group have pledged to continue the attacks against ships that are in any way associated with Israel, in support of Hamas, per the international affairs think tank, the Atlantic Council. But the attacks in recent days have not been so precise, per PBS, as several strikes have hit vessels with no known ties to Israel.
Despite a multinational show of forces to defend ships passing through the Red Sea and Suez Canal, four of the world's five largest container shipping companies including Maersk, CMA CGM Group, and Hapag-Lloyd, as well as oil giant BP have temporarily halted shipments through the region in a move experts warn could have impacts on the global economy.
"Rising uncertainty in the Suez channel combined with the global economy rebounding because of easier financial conditions could put upward pressure on goods inflation over the coming months," Torsten Slok, the chief economist of Apollo Global Management, said, according to Bloomberg.
As the Houthi attacks force big businesses to stop shipments through the Red Sea, some are instead attempting to travel through alternate routes — but there aren't many options in the area. Attempting to navigate to the world's other major trading shipping route, through the Panama Canal, also presents a problem because it is severely restricted due to drought.
A backup in seaborne traffic through the Panama Canal, caused by ships being rerouted from the Suez channel, could further exacerbate costly shipping delays and likely result in rising prices for customers on the receiving end of the goods being delivered.
"The situation does mean an increase to shipping costs and some short-term delivery delays," Henning Gloystein, a director at researcher Eurasia Group, told Bloomberg. "All these costs will be directly passed on to consumers."
The Wall Street Journal's editorial board wrote in an opinion essay published Sunday worrying that the continued attacks and subsequent shipping delays will bring "major economic consequences" if they continue.
Those economic impacts appear to be a significant factor behind the military strategy of Western nations, who have banded together to protect the commercial interests sailing through the canal.
On Monday, The Journal reported that the Pentagon announced a new international effort to combat the attacks in the Red Sea, called Operation Prosperity Guardian, combining forces from the US, UK, Norway, France, and Bahrain to push back on the Houthi attacks and offer a military escort for commercial vessels passing through the region.
Though a security escort will help cargo ships move through the canal without being attacked, it will result in further delays as commercial vessels are forced to wait for help for safe passage.
Shipping costs and other supply chain issues contributed to inflationary prices during the pandemic. In January of 2023, The Economist reported that shipping costs had returned to pre-pandemic levels.
It's unclear how much the current situation will impact shipping in the long term.
"Geopolitics is showing its ugly face and shipping has been taken as a hostage," The Journal reported Peter Sand, chief analyst at shipping platform Xeneta, said.
US and allies scramble to respond to Houthi attacks on key Red Sea shipping lanes.
Attacks on commercial ships in the Red Sea have escalated to a level not seen in decades, leaving the United States and its allies scrambling to protect shipping in a key corridor for the global economy.
Houthi rebels have launched at least 100 attacks against 12 different commercial and merchant vessels in the Red Sea over the last month, a “very significant breadth of attacks” not seen in at least “two generations,” a senior US military official said Tuesday.
The official described the attacks, which the Iran-backed Houthis have launched using ballistic missiles and drones, as a “large change in the security environment than even what it was two months ago.”
The Red Sea is home to one of the most important maritime trade routes in the world, and the affects of the attacks have had far-reaching reverberations, with at least 44 countries having connections to vessels attacked by the Houthis, and wider international trade being disrupted due to the attacks.
The attacks have escalated since the beginning of the war between Israel and Hamas, sparked by the October 7 terrorist attack that killed about 1,200 Israelis. As Israel ramped up its retaliation for the attack, the Houthis began targeting ships that it accused of in some way support Israel’s war effort though multiple companies that have been targeted have said they have no connection with Israel or the war.
Some of the world’s biggest companies, including oil giant BP and shipping company Maersk, announced they were suspending their operations in the Red Sea because of the continued attacks on the vessels in recent weeks. Oil and gas prices rose sharply after BP’s announcement.
The strikes prompted Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to announce the formation of a coalition of at least 10 countries to focus on security in the Red Sea, saying the attacks “threaten the free flow of commerce and endanger innocent mariners.”
The coalition, part of Operation Prosperity Guardians, involves member ships being available near the Red Sea to respond to attacks.
The UK, Bahrain, Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Seychelles and Spain have signed up so far, Austin said on Monday. The US sent invitations to 39 countries to be part of the operation, and expects more will sign up in the coming days.
The US did not invite China to be part of the coalition, despite China maintaining a presence in the area, the official said.
“We will be sailing alongside the highway, so to speak,” the official said. “A key point is that this is not necessarily an escort mission.” If a closer escort is required at any given moment, however, then the naval forces in the region will make that assessment on a case-by-case basis.
The official said he is not sure how the Houthis have been picking and choosing their targets, but acknowledged that there are Iranian forces operating in the Red Sea when asked directly whether Iran is helping the Houthis select vessels to attack. The US’ assessment, however, is that the Houthi attacks have been “very indiscriminate,” the official said.
The Houthis, one side of Yemen’s brutal, decade-long civil war, have said their attacks are retribution for Israel’s military campaign against Gaza. Not all ships targeted by the group are believed to have direct connections to Israel, however.
The Houthis have made incremental updates to their weaponry and firepower, and have targeted commercial ships using drones and anti-ship missiles.
A Houthi spokesperson told Al Jazeera on Monday that the group would confront any US-led coalition in the Red Sea.
- Questions and Answers
- Opinion
- Story/Motivational/Inspiring
- Technology
- Art
- Causes
- Crafts
- Dance
- Drinks
- Film/Movie
- Fitness
- Food
- Games
- Gardening
- Health
- Home
- Literature
- Music
- Networking
- Other
- Party
- Religion
- Shopping
- Sports
- Theater
- Wellness
- News
- Culture
- War machines and policy