What are the strategic interests of the various countries involved in the South China Sea disputes? By Hugo Keji

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The South China Sea (SCS) is a region of significant strategic importance, and several countries have overlapping claims and interests in this area. The primary nations involved include China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan, with the United States playing a critical role as an external power. 

1. China

  • Territorial Claims: China claims most of the South China Sea under its "Nine-Dash Line," which is based on historical maps. This claim is disputed by several Southeast Asian nations and was invalidated by a 2016 ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration, which China rejects.
  • Military Strategy: The SCS is critical to China’s military strategy. China has built and militarized artificial islands, enhancing its ability to project power across the region. Control of the SCS allows China to secure its southern maritime approaches and establish a strategic buffer zone.
  • Economic Interests: The SCS is rich in natural resources, including oil and gas reserves, and is one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, crucial for China's trade. Control over these resources and trade routes would bolster China’s economic security.
  • Regional Dominance: China views control over the SCS as essential to asserting its influence in Asia and resisting U.S. dominance. It seeks to push U.S. forces further from its shores and solidify its status as the preeminent power in the Asia-Pacific region.

2. The Philippines

  • Territorial Sovereignty: The Philippines claims parts of the SCS, particularly the Scarborough Shoal and parts of the Spratly Islands, which fall within its Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). Protecting these claims is tied to national sovereignty and security.
  • Economic Interests: The Philippines seeks to exploit the rich fishing grounds and potential oil and gas reserves within its EEZ. Access to these resources is vital for economic development and energy security.
  • Security Alliance with the U.S.: The Philippines has a Mutual Defense Treaty with the U.S., which it relies on to counterbalance China’s assertiveness in the SCS. However, its relationship with China is complex, balancing economic ties with security concerns.

3. Vietnam

  • Territorial Claims: Vietnam contests China’s claims over the Paracel and Spratly Islands, which it considers part of its territory. Vietnam’s sovereignty claims are deeply rooted in historical control and are central to its national identity.
  • Resource Exploitation: Like other claimants, Vietnam is interested in the natural resources within its EEZ, including fisheries, oil, and gas. These resources are crucial for its economic development.
  • Military Defense: Vietnam views China’s activities in the SCS as a direct threat. It has increased its military presence and strengthened its capabilities in the region, while also seeking partnerships with other countries, including the U.S., Japan, and India, to counterbalance China.

4. Malaysia

  • Territorial Claims: Malaysia claims part of the Spratly Islands and its surrounding waters, which fall within its EEZ. Protecting these claims is linked to its sovereignty and national interests.
  • Economic Interests: Malaysia is interested in the hydrocarbon potential of the region. It has conducted oil and gas exploration within its claimed areas and views these resources as vital for its economy.
  • Strategic Caution: Malaysia generally takes a more cautious approach to the SCS disputes, avoiding direct confrontation with China while protecting its interests. It seeks to balance its economic relationship with China with its territorial and resource interests in the SCS.

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5. Brunei

  • Territorial Claims: Brunei claims a maritime area in the southern part of the SCS that overlaps with the Spratly Islands. Its claims are based on its EEZ, under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).
  • Economic Interests: Brunei’s primary interest in the SCS lies in the potential oil and gas resources within its EEZ. As a small nation heavily dependent on hydrocarbon revenues, access to these resources is crucial for its economic sustainability.
  • Diplomatic Approach: Brunei tends to adopt a low-profile, diplomatic approach to the disputes, emphasizing peaceful resolution and regional cooperation, partly due to its small size and limited military capabilities.

6. Taiwan

  • Territorial Claims: Taiwan claims the same areas as China, including the Paracel and Spratly Islands, based on the historical maps that the Chinese government also uses. Taiwan occupies the largest natural island in the Spratlys, Itu Aba (Taiping Island).
  • Strategic Interests: Taiwan’s presence in the SCS is partly a reflection of its broader geopolitical position, seeking to maintain its claims and counterbalance China’s influence in the region.
  • International Relations: Taiwan’s position in the SCS is complicated by its status as a partially recognized state. Its claims are often overshadowed by China’s, and it must navigate its SCS strategy carefully to avoid exacerbating tensions with Beijing.

7. United States

  • Freedom of Navigation: The U.S. does not claim any part of the SCS but is deeply concerned about maintaining freedom of navigation and overflight in the region. The U.S. conducts regular Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs) to challenge what it sees as excessive maritime claims, particularly by China.
  • Regional Security: The U.S. views the SCS disputes as a critical component of regional security and a test of international law. It supports its allies and partners, such as the Philippines and Vietnam, in their territorial disputes with China.
  • Countering China’s Influence: The U.S. seeks to prevent China from establishing dominance in the SCS, which it views as part of broader efforts to maintain a balance of power in the Asia-Pacific region. This includes deepening security cooperation with regional states, enhancing military presence, and supporting regional initiatives like ASEAN.
  • Economic Interests: While less directly reliant on the resources of the SCS, the U.S. is heavily invested in ensuring that the vital sea lanes in the region remain open and secure, given their importance to global trade and the U.S. economy.

8. Other External Powers

  • Japan: Japan is concerned about the implications of the SCS disputes for its own security and regional stability. It supports freedom of navigation and has increased its security ties with Southeast Asian countries as a counterbalance to China.
  • India: India has strategic interests in ensuring that the SCS remains open for navigation, as a significant portion of its trade passes through the region. It also seeks to counter China’s influence and has strengthened its security partnerships with Southeast Asian countries.
  • Australia: Australia is aligned with the U.S. in supporting freedom of navigation and has increased its involvement in regional security dialogues, concerned about the broader strategic implications of China’s actions in the SCS.

In conclusion, the South China Sea is a region where overlapping territorial claims and strategic interests converge, creating a complex and often volatile geopolitical landscape. The interests of the countries involved range from territorial sovereignty and resource exploitation to broader strategic concerns about regional power dynamics and international law. The involvement of external powers, particularly the U.S., further complicates the situation, making the South China Sea one of the most significant flashpoints in contemporary global geopolitics.

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